3.1: Politics

Focus on the costs and benefits of different styles of reasoning in politics.

Other Information:

The work on world politics focuses on the costs and benefits of different styles of reasoning in that domain. This work draws heavily on expert judgment and deals largely with assessments of historical counterfactuals, the generation of conditional forecasts, and reactions to the confirmation or disconfirmation of conditional forecasts.

Indicator(s):

Indicator:1

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